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Author Topic: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)  (Read 4866 times)

Deathlike2

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #45 on: January 13, 2017, 11:46:17 PM »
Divisional Round:
Falcons over Seahawks
Pats over Texans
Packers over Cowboys
Chiefs over Steelers
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assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #46 on: January 14, 2017, 03:37:32 PM »
Falcons, 29-26

Seahawks narrowly won head-to-head, and maybe we're supposed to pick the defensive powerhouse over the offensive one in playoffs.  but Falcons had a slightly better record despite a tougher schedule, comparisons against common opponents (and there were a ton!) almost always favor Atlanta, Falcons never lost by more than 9 points (but Seahawks were good in this area, aside from Green Bay blow-out), and Seattle isn't a great road team.

this board's clock is 1.75 minutes fast, btw.

assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #47 on: January 14, 2017, 04:30:39 PM »
as for today's other game, there have been no disasters in the news as of yet, so i'll go ahead with New England, 33-16.

assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #48 on: January 15, 2017, 09:36:04 AM »
i damn near nailed that score.  almost makes up for being grievously wrong on all the rest. ;)  much of it turned out to be an interesting game.  unfortunately, i was out grocery shopping, and missed the better (first) half.

as for today's first game, Cowboys, 27-24

assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #49 on: January 15, 2017, 04:15:03 PM »
Pittsburgh, 21-20.

i was on the fence with this game, as well as today's NFC match.  reasoning on the second pick: the schedule strength was similar, while the Chiefs defeated somewhat better teams on average, and both teams were 6 for 10 (including playoffs) against 8-8 or higher teams.  Pittsburgh won big head-to-head, and there were a mere 2 common opponents to possibly outweigh this, but the teams performed similarly here.  and unlike some other playoff match-ups so far, the Chiefs aren't markedly better at home (6-2) than the Steelers are on the road (5-3).  KC and Pitt are very close on both points scored and allowed, but Pittsburgh is better in passing, rushing, and total yardage on both sides of the ball.  their team and QB have more experience and success in the playoffs.

one thing giving me pause is that the Chiefs kept their losses pretty narrow, outside of the one.  the Steelers often lost bigger.  i like their current streak, though.

Lenophis

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #50 on: January 15, 2017, 11:45:20 PM »


Good job, ESPN. :childish:

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Deathlike2

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #51 on: January 20, 2017, 10:20:05 PM »
Packers over Falcons
Pats over Steelers
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assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #52 on: January 20, 2017, 10:33:20 PM »
Lenophis: are you gonna update (or reiterate) your AFC pick?  you had Patriots over Chiefs, which is a bit invalid now.

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Divisional Round results:

Lenophis = 3-1
Deathlike2 = 3-1
assassin = 3-1

so far:

Lenophis = 6-2
Deathlike2 = 6-2
assassin = 7-1

------------------------------

two very close games last week.  in the first, Rodgers was masterful, though young Prescott and Elliott were impressively unfazed by their first playoff game.  a great watch.

for the night match-up, the Chiefs' defense, Le'Veon Bell, and the Chiefs' offense all conspired to keep the Chiefs' D on the field as long as possible, and to make me fall asleep sitting up at the end of the half.  they succeeded on both counts.  "bend but don't break" amazingly continued, but boy, did they bend a lot.  they gave up a crapload of yards, and helped Boswell set a Steelers' record.  maybe if i'd woken up a couple hours later in the morning, or the game order hadn't been switched, i would've been more entertained by this tight game.  it's odd how little Kansas City rushed the ball; they averaged over 4 yards per carry, so it's not like it was futile.  they instead went pass-heavy, and barely converted third downs.

Lenophis

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #53 on: January 20, 2017, 11:20:43 PM »
I still have the Patriots in the Super Bowl, so it doesn't matter. Hopefully the AFC Championship game is a close one!

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assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #54 on: January 22, 2017, 02:16:26 PM »
shit, i got caught up making a Quick bug post and lost track of time.  is it too late to pick Packers over Falcons 4 minutes into the game with no score?

assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #55 on: January 22, 2017, 03:00:53 PM »
as for the second game, i'll go Patriots, 23-19.  the Steelers' stronger schedule and New England's slow start against the Texans gives me some pause, but the Pats won head-to-head, and were better against nearly all common opponents (aside from Buffalo, where the 1st meeting had no Brady).  not to mention their great run defense is a contrast from what Pittsburgh has faced these playoffs.

assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #56 on: January 25, 2017, 07:01:53 AM »
Conference Championship round results:

assassin = 1-1
Lenophis = 1-1
Deathlike2 = 1-1

Totals so far:

Lenophis = 7-3
Deathlike2 = 7-3
assassin = 8-2

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Lenophis has matched where he was at this point last year, while Deathlike2 and i have each slipped a game.

JCE3000GT is nowhere to be seen.  Gil Galad is even goner.  man, it was fun when we had 5 people participating in these topics.  the playoff nucleus of 3 is still nice, but let's try and land some fresh blood.

Lenophis

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #57 on: January 30, 2017, 03:16:25 PM »
Well, here we are. Super Bowl 51. Though the Falcons got in instead, I will not be changing my pick.

We were at this party a couple of years ago when the Broncos went up against the Seahawks. I suspect the same thing will happen this time around. I've been hearing a lot of talk on the radio that that Falcons will roflstomp the Patriots, their offense is too good, etc etc. Yeah no.

Patriots win, 33 - 14

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Deathlike2

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #58 on: February 05, 2017, 11:36:32 AM »
Pats over Falcons

Final Score: 30-27
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assassin

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Re: NFL season 2016- 2017 week 18 (playoffs?!)
« Reply #59 on: February 05, 2017, 03:39:30 PM »
i'm going with Patriots over Falcons, 32-24.  as Lenophis alluded to, i've had too many recent cases of underestimating how the superior defense can dominate a Super Bowl.  and while what Quinn's done here and in Seattle has been impressive, New England has the coaching edge over pretty much anybody; their planning is likely to negate some of the on-paper advantages that Atlanta has.

that said, like the majority of the country and planet, i'll be rooting for Atlanta. :P